Tuesday, May 5, 2020

Sports betting bets

The sole purpose of the point spread is to equalize the bets so that the amount wagered on the underdog is equal to the amount wagered on the favorite. The book makes money with vigor or juice. So if the amount wagered on the underdog is the same as the amount wagered on the underdog, the book is guaranteed a 10% profit on half of the bets made, no matter which team they cover.

The best line makers are those who have an idea of ​​what the betting public believes. The betting line they establish reflects the perception of the betting public about the strength of the two teams. It does not necessarily reflect the true relative strengths of the two teams. And the public's perception of sports betting is often wrong.

Once you understand that concept, everything else will start to fall into place. You will have an advantage over most bettors.

Be objective. Listen to your head, not your heart. Don't bet against the Cowboys just because you want to see them lose. And don't bet on a team just because you like the team. And don't bet on your favorite team if you're an avid fan. It is almost impossible to be objective. Fans tend to be too optimistic about their favorite team or too pessimistic if things don't go ข่าวกีฬา.

Be consistent. Bet the same amount on each game. Some players bet $ 200 on games they think are locks and $ 100 on games they are not so sure about. They are those who are not so sure of the bets that accumulate losses. If you're not sure about a game, don't bet on it.

Should you bet on the local team? Generally not. However, if you can be objective, you have an advantage. You probably know more about your local team than those in other parts of the country because local media provide extensive coverage to the local team, coverage that is not shared with the rest of the country.

Look for trends. If you see a trend, keep that in mind in your decision. Some teams have the number of other teams. In the past four years, the 49ers have covered the Rams 7 8 times and the only time they didn't, Young was hurt and had to play Druckmiller, a rookie. In the past five years, Green Bay has lost 4 of the 5 games played in Detroit.

Trends are not guarantees. The trend may not continue and you lose your bet. But remember that the purpose is to increase your chances of winning. Based on past performance, if you bet on the 49ers hedging against the Rams, you're more likely to win your bet than lose.

Place your bets late in the week. By waiting until the end of the week, you will know of any key player injuries that may affect how you bet. Sometimes players injure or aggravate an injury in practice. Or what seemed like a minor injury Tuesday may turn out to be one that will keep the player out of the game. Also, weather conditions may affect your bet. Bad weather often keeps the score low.

Limit the number of games you bet. More is not better. The optimal number seems to be 3 to 6 games. More and the winning percentages tend to decrease because the law of averages comes into play. (The more games you play, the more likely you are to have 50% winners and 50% losers. And that's a losing season, due to juice.) Also, it is easier to focus on a limited number of games.

Losing streaks happen. No matter what, you can count on a losing streak. It happens to the disabled, professional gamblers, casual gamblers and even books. Get ready to ride it. If you are using Pro Predictor or a service for the disabled, you must keep it throughout the season to be the winner. Going out at the first sign of a losing streak will guarantee you lose for the season. Suppose you quit just so the handicap goes 5 for 5 next week. Those are 5 wins he will never have and will affect his overall win percentage.

No comments:

Post a Comment